The Australian property market has been significantly affected by immigration over the years, and the coming five years are no exception. As we approach the next 5 years, an unprecedented wave of international students and immigrants is expected to enter the country, posing both opportunities and challenges for the real estate sector.
The Good: Boost to the Economy through Foreign Students
International students have long been a vital component of Australia’s education sector, contributing substantially to the nation’s economy. According to Universities Australia research, education added over $29 billion to the economy in 2022, with international students alone contributing $25.5 billion. This financial injection benefits various sectors and supports essential services across the country. The influx of foreign students not only enhances the economy but also fosters a more culturally diverse community, enriching the overall societal fabric.
The Bad: Housing Shortfall Challenges
As the number of international students and immigrants continues to rise, Australia faces a severe housing shortfall. The Institute of Public Affairs (IPA) data showed the net intake of international students was 250,000 in the 2022/23 financial year, which is equivalent to 70 per cent of new housing supply. This imbalance between housing supply and demand is a pressing concern and must be addressed promptly to avoid a worsening housing crisis.
The Ugly: Soaring Property Prices and Rents
The increasing demand for housing, fuelled by international students and immigrants, has already led to skyrocketing property prices and rents. CoreLogic’s quarterly rental review reveals a 4.4% jump in national unit rent prices in the three months to May, while house prices rose by 2% during the same period. Despite the Reserve Bank of Australia raising interest rates multiple times, property prices have remained on an upward trajectory. Foreign buyers also play a role in the market, with their share of new home sales rising to 7.9% in Q1 2023.
Driving factors behind the price surge also include supply-chain disruptions, labor shortages, and uncertainties over costs and interest rates, all of which impede the timely completion of new builds.
The next five years are poised to witness a significant impact of immigration on the Australian property market. While international students contribute significantly to the economy and cultural diversity, the housing shortfall and increasing property prices present challenges.
References:
propertycouncil.com.au